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Uzelman: Trudeau is deaf to Japansa国际传媒檚 request for LNG

A column by Bruce Uzelman
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Liquid natural gas bubbles. (Pixabay)

~BW Uzelman

Natural gas is the cleanest of fossil fuels, and B.C.sa国际传媒檚 natural gas is lower carbon than most. The LNG (Liquid Natural Gas) Canada plant in Kitimat will produce 35% lower greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions than the worldsa国际传媒檚 best performing facilities. So, Prime Minister Justin Trudeausa国际传媒檚 apparent aversion to LNG is disconcerting. Japan, as a responsible ally of Canada, the U.S. and the Ukraine, wants to replace its Russian supplied natural gas. Japan also wants to diversify from middle east sources of oil and gas.

Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida recently visited Canada seeking Canadian LNG. Trudeau began positively, sa国际传媒渂eing a reliable supplier of energy is important sa国际传媒.sa国际传媒 But then he added some unsolicited ecological advice, sa国际传媒渢he world is moving aggressively, meaningfully toward decarbonization, towards diversifying, towards more renewables.sa国际传媒 Trudeau offered no LNG supply and no comment on the Cedar LNG project, which waits for federal approval. Kishida summed it up, sa国际传媒淲e didnsa国际传媒檛 get any commitment.sa国际传媒

Similarly, when Germanysa国际传媒檚 Chancellor, last year, requested Canadian LNG to help it navigate the energy crisis created by Russiasa国际传媒檚 war on Ukraine, Trudeau refused to support new LNG projects. There was sa国际传媒渘o business casesa国际传媒 for Atlantic LNG, remarked Trudeau. He is suggesting that sa国际传媒 though we have abundant natural gas, we have customers seeking LNG and we can produce it extremely efficiently sa国际传媒 somehow it doesnsa国际传媒檛 make economic sense. He may not see a political case; there absolutely is a business case.

It is widely recognized that natural gas is a valuable transition fuel on our path to a Net 0 carbon future. The Business Council of B.C. wrote a historical report on energy transitions. Denise Mullen and David Williams contend, sa国际传媒淭hroughout history, societies have transitioned to energy sources with higher power density, portability and flexibility.sa国际传媒 They say the current transition involves the addition of small- and medium-sized renewable energy sources operating in conjunction with existing energy infrastructure.

Renewable energy (wind and solar) is not consistently available. Natural gas and LNG are important elements in the energy mix, note Mullen and Williams, replacing carbon-intensive fossil fuels, yet balancing the variability of renewables. They add, sa国际传媒淭he future is not sa国际传媒榚ither/orsa国际传媒 between fossil fuels and renewables sa国际传媒 rather it is an sa国际传媒榓ndsa国际传媒.sa国际传媒 As coal is phased out, warns the report, sa国际传媒渘atural gas/LNG is the only rapidly deployable substitutesa国际传媒 for higher emitting fuels, especially in electrical generation. Coal-fired generation is not common in Canada, but is still extensively used elsewhere, notably in China, India and developing countries. Coal usage must be sharply diminished globally to appreciably cut GHG emissions.

Mullen and Williams observe that B.C. was a leader in climate action with the institution of the carbon tax. sa国际传媒淐ontinuing to lead requires taking a planetary sa国际传媒 not local or isolationist sa国际传媒 perspective to lowering or slowing the rise of total global GHG emissions.sa国际传媒 The stakes are high. We cansa国际传媒檛 afford to be parochial.

LNG exports will provide a market for more BC natural gas. BCsa国际传媒檚 oil and gas industry, which consists largely of natural gas, enjoyed productivity rates at an amazing 26 times the average rate of the business sector (in 2018). The growth of a highly productive industry will support wage growth. One study found the natural gas developed will boost BCsa国际传媒檚 GDP by $8 billion per year and increase jobs by 3% annually.

Ipsos published a poll in September that showed 76% of Canadians support developing more renewable energy and 71% more hydroelectricity. Support for more natural gas was strong as well at 66%. 52% of Canadians say Canada has a moral obligation to help Europe reduce dependance on Russian oil and gas. 41% said Canada must increase gas exports to support Europe even if we miss our climate targets, while 33% said Canada should meet climate targets even if we cansa国际传媒檛 help Europe, and 26% didnsa国际传媒檛 know.

There is strong international demand for LNG. The world cannot rapidly and totally displace high-carbon fuel sources with renewable energy sources. That shift will take decades and massive investments. If Canada is to help reduce the global carbon output meaningfully in the short term, a transition fuel is necessary. Natural gas is the only alternative, because it is clean, sa国际传媒渞apidly deployablesa国际传媒 and scalable.

Justin Trudeausa国际传媒檚 opposition to LNG is very difficult to understand. Mr. Trudeau apparently feels no moral obligation to supply Canadian energy to our allies and to help reduce total global GHG emissions. He must know the economic advantages the development of LNG confers on BC and Canada. He must know the importance of a global focus on reducing GHG and the necessity of transitional fuels. He must know Canadians largely support developing natural gas and exporting it to Europe (and likely Japan).

So why oppose LNG? Perhaps, the Prime Minister is hobbled by an insular environmental ideology, or hopes to fashion climate change policies into a wedge issue. Either is disconcerting, and disappointing.

Bruce

Bruce W Uzelman

I grew up in Paradise Hill, a village in Northwestern Saskatchewan. I come from a large family. My parents instilled good values, but yet afforded us, my seven siblings and I, much freedom to do the things we wished to do. I spent my early years exploring the hills and forests and fields surrounding the village, a great way to come of age. My parents owned a successful general store. My siblings and I were required to help out in the business, no choices allowed there!

I attended the University of Saskatchewan in Saskatoon. I considered studying journalism at one point, but did not ultimately pursue that. However, I obtained a Bachelor of Arts, Advanced with majors in Economics and Political Science in 1982.

My career has consisted exclusively of small business, primarily restaurant and retail. I was originally based in Alberta, and then BC, first in Summerland, then Victoria and finally Kelowna (for over 20 years). I was married in Alberta, and we have two daughters, who have returned to Alberta as adults for career reasons, as did my now ex-wife. My daughters are successful, and now have families of their own.

I have maintained a healthy interest in politics throughout my adult years, and wish to put that and my research skills to work as a political columnist.

Contact: urbangeneral@shaw.ca

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