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Kootnekoff: Travel restrictions - is public healthsa国际传媒檚 statistical modelling flawed?

Susan Kootnekoff is the founder of Inspire Law, her diverse legal career spans over 20 years
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Some Canadian provinces, including B.C., have enacted travel restrictions amid fears of covid-19.

In January, 2021, after seeking legal advice, B.C. premier John Horgan stated that sa国际传媒渨e cansa国际传媒檛 prevent people from travelling to British Columbia. We can impose restrictions on people travelling for non-essential purposes.sa国际传媒

In 2020, in the Newfoundland Supreme Court considered covid-19 related interprovincial travel restrictions.

In 2018, the province of Newfoundland and Labrador enacted the

S. 28(1)(h) of the PHPPA specifically authorized the provincial Chief Medical Officer of Health (sa国际传媒淐MOHsa国际传媒) to sa国际传媒渕ake orders restricting travel to or from the province or an area within the province.sa国际传媒

On May 4-5, 2020, in an effort to curtail the spread of COVID-19, the CMOH issued two orders under s. 28(1)(h). The orders were designed to prevent non-essential travelers from entering the province.

Kimberley Taylor, a Canadian citizen, was born and raised in Newfoundland. She lived in Nova Scotia with her spouse and children.

On May 6, 2020, her mother died suddenly in Newfoundland.

On May 6, 2020 Ms. Taylor requested an exemption from the travel restrictions, to attend her mothersa国际传媒檚 funeral.

She stated that she needed to grieve with her family.

On May 8, 2020, her request to enter the province was denied. No meaningful reasons were given.

On May 16, 2020, after Ms. Taylor requested a reconsideration, an exemption was granted, permitting her to enter the province.

Ms. Taylor challenged s. 28(1)(h) of the PHPPA as being a matter of federal, not provincial, jurisdiction.

She also challenged the decision denying her entry for 8 days on the basis that it infringed her rights to mobility protected by s. 6, and her right to liberty protected by s. 7, of the

Section 6(1) of the Charter guarantees Canadian citizens the right to sa国际传媒渆nter, remain in and leave Canada.sa国际传媒 Section 6(2) guarantees the right of citizens and permanent residents to sa国际传媒渕ove and take up residence in any provincesa国际传媒 and to sa国际传媒減ursue the gaining of a livelihood in any province.sa国际传媒

Section 7 guarantees sa国际传媒渆veryonesa国际传媒 with the sa国际传媒渞ight to life, liberty and security of the personsa国际传媒 and sa国际传媒渘ot to be deprived thereof except in accordance with the principles of fundamental justice.sa国际传媒

Section 6 of the Charter is not subject to the sa国际传媒渘otwithstanding clausesa国际传媒 in s. 33 of the Charter.

This clause allows a government to declare that a law continues to operate, sa国际传媒渘otwithstandingsa国际传媒 that it unjustifiably infringes s. 2 or 7-15 Charter rights.

The court in Taylor found that the pith and substance of the provision was to protect and promote health of those in the province. It was of a local and private nature or property and civil rights matter.

So, it was within provincesa国际传媒檚 constitutional jurisdiction.

With respect to the Charter, the court found that Ms. Taylorsa国际传媒檚 specific case engaged only s. 6, not s. 7.

The court found that the right to sa国际传媒渞emain insa国际传媒 Canada surely included sa国际传媒渢he right to wander freely from room to room.sa国际传媒

It accepted that her s. 6(1) right to remain in Canada was infringed by briefly being denied entry to the province.

It then considered s. 1 of the Charter.

Section 1 guarantees that the rights and freedoms protected by the Charter will only be subject to sa国际传媒渟uch reasonable limits prescribed by law as can be demonstrably justified in a free and democratic society.sa国际传媒

To justify an infringement under s. 1, the party seeking to uphold the provision sa国际传媒 here, the state sa国际传媒 had to demonstrate that two requirements were met:

  1. the objective designed to be served by the limitation on the Charter right is of sufficient importance to warrant overriding the right; and
  2. the means chosen to limit the right are reasonable and demonstrably justified.

This second requirement involves proportionality. The interests of society must be balanced with those of individuals and groups. At this stage, the state must demonstrate three components:

  1. the means adopted must be rationally connected to the objective.
  2. the means chosen must impair as little as possible the right in question, and
  3. the effects of the measure chosen are proportionate to the objectivesa国际传媒攖he more severe the harmful effects, the more important must be the objective.

To justify the travel restrictions under section 1, the state offered evidence from Dr. Rahman, an epidemiologist. He proffered predictive analytics modelling which simulated the effects of the travel restrictions.

The court observed that:

no evidence has been adduced to counter this conclusion, nor to impugn the methodology of Dr. Rahman and the predicative analytics group.

The court found that the travel restrictions had the pressing and substantial objective of protecting those in the province from COVID-19 being brought in by travellers.

Based on the statistical modelling, it found that the travel restrictions were rationally connected to the objective and were minimally impairing. The sa国际传媒渃ourts do not have the specialized expertise to second guess the decisions of public health officials.sa国际传媒

The court found that in the circumstances of this case, sa国际传媒渢he collective benefit to the population as a whole must prevailsa国际传媒 and the sa国际传媒渞ight to mobility must give way to the common good.sa国际传媒

So, the court upheld travel restrictions in this case as justified under s. 1.

It dismissed Ms. Taylorsa国际传媒檚 challenge.

The decision is

A variety of avenues to legally challenge the travel restrictions were not pursued in this case.

In an article entitled lawyer Edward Conway discusses the model used by public health theorists use to estimate the impact of COVID-19:

  • There is a lot of math, always a selling point when yousa国际传媒檙e in the business of telling ordinary people how enormous and dangerous the trivial risk is. Who can confront these public health theorists with their mathematical models, the use of which results in the destruction of civil liberty?
  • The SEIRS model is all the rage among sa国际传媒榩ublic healthsa国际传媒 types. It was the SEIRS model that estimated millions and millions of deaths than didnsa国际传媒檛 happen. As Joe Biden would say, sa国际传媒榩robably 200 million people will die before I finish this talksa国际传媒.

It was the SEIRS model that convinced Burrage J. in Taylor v. Newfoundland and Labrador to revolutionize the constitution sa国际传媒 What is this all-powerful tool that has superior court judges bending the knee?

sa国际传媒 sa国际传媒榩ublic heathsa国际传媒 theorists have successful[ly] estimated all 200 million of the 200,000 actual deaths that have taken place in the United States. I hope you get my point.

While the Taylor decision is of interest, any challenge to travel restrictions will be fact specific.

Different facts, and different avenues of challenge, may well yield a different result.

How rigorous should courts be in scrutinizing such evidence, particularly when it infringes on civil liberties?

About Susan Kootnekoff:

Susan Kootnekoff is the founder of Inspire Law, an Okanagan based-law practice. Photo: Contributed
Susan Kootnekoff is the founder of Inspire Law, an Okanagan based-law practice. Photo: Contributed

Susan Kootnekoff is the founder of Inspire Law, an Okanagan based-law practice. She has been practicing law since 1994, with brief stints away to begin raising children.

Susan has experience in many areas of law, but is most drawn to areas in which she can make a positive difference in peoplesa国际传媒檚 lives, including employment law.

She has been a member of the Law Society of Alberta since 1994 and a member of the Law Society of British Columbia since 2015. Susan grew up in Saskatchewan. Her parents were both entrepreneurs, and her father was also a union leader who worked tirelessly to improve the lives of workers. Before moving to B.C., Susan practiced law in both Calgary and Fort McMurray, Alta.

Living and practicing law in Fort McMurray made a lasting impression on Susan. It was in this isolated and unique community that her interest in employment law, and Canadasa国际传媒檚 oil sands industry, took hold. In 2013,

Susan moved to the Okanagan with her family, where she currently resides.

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