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NDP flips, United flops, Conservatives surge as B.C. election looms

Campaign run-up has been a wild ride as writ set to drop for Oct. 19 vote
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B.C. Premier David Eby speaks during a news conference in Coquitlam, B.C., on July 24. The Conservative Party of B.C. that didnsa国际传媒檛 elect a single member in the last election and gained less than two per cent of the popular vote is now leading the charge for centre-right, anti-NDP voters. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Darryl Dyck

If the lead up to British Columbiasa国际传媒檚 provincial election campaign is any indication of whatsa国际传媒檚 to come, voters should expect the unexpected.

It could be a wild ride to voting day on Oct. 19.

The Conservative Party of B.C. that didnsa国际传媒檛 elect a single member in the last election and gained less than two per cent of the popular vote is now leading the charge for centre-right, anti-NDP voters.

The official Opposition B.C. United, who as the former B.C. Liberals won four consecutive majorities from 2001 to 2013, raised a white flag and suspended its campaign last month, asking its members, incumbents and voters to support the B.C. Conservatives to prevent a vote split on the political right.

New Democrat Leader David Eby delivered a few political surprises of his own in the days leading up to Saturdaysa国际传媒檚 official campaign start, signalling major shifts on the carbon tax and the issue of involuntary care in an attempt to curb the deadly opioid overdose crisis.

He said the NDP would drop the provincesa国际传媒檚 long-standing carbon tax for consumers if the federal government eliminates its requirement to keep the levy in place, and pledged to introduce involuntary care of people battling mental health and addiction issues.

The B.C. Coroners Service reports more than 15,000 overdose deaths since the province declared an opioid overdose public health emergency in 2016.

Drug policy in B.C., especially decriminalization of possession of small amounts of hard drugs and drug use in public areas, could become key election issues this fall.

Eby, a former executive director of the B.C. Civil Liberties Association, said Wednesday that criticism of the NDPsa国际传媒檚 involuntary care plan by the Canadian Civil Liberties Association is sa国际传媒渕isinformedsa国际传媒 and sa国际传媒渕isleading.sa国际传媒

sa国际传媒淭his isnsa国际传媒檛 about forcing people into a particular treatment,sa国际传媒 he said at an unrelated news conference. sa国际传媒淭his is about making sure that their safety, as well as the safety of the broader community, is looked after.sa国际传媒

Eby said sa国际传媒渟implistic arguments,sa国际传媒 where one side says lock people up and the other says donsa国际传媒檛 lock anybody up donsa国际传媒檛 make sense.

sa国际传媒淭here are some people who should be in jail, who belong in jail to ensure community safety,sa国际传媒 said Eby. sa国际传媒淭here are some people who need to be in intensive, secure mental health treatment facilities because thatsa国际传媒檚 what they need in order to be safe, in order not to be exploited, in order not to be dead.sa国际传媒

The CCLA said in a statement Ebysa国际传媒檚 plan is not acceptable.

sa国际传媒淭here is no doubt that substance use is an alarming and pressing epidemic,sa国际传媒 said Anais Bussi猫res McNicoll, the associationsa国际传媒檚 fundamental freedoms program director. sa国际传媒淭his scourge is causing significant suffering, particularly, among vulnerable and marginalized groups. That being said, detaining people without even assessing their capacity to make treatment decisions, and forcing them to undergo treatment against their will, is unconstitutional.sa国际传媒

While Eby, a noted human rights lawyer, could face political pressure from civil rights opponents to his involuntary care plans, his opponents on the right also face difficulties.

The B..C United Party suspended its campaign last month in a pre-election move to prevent a vote split on the right, but that support may splinter as former jilted United members run as Independents.

Five incumbent B.C. United MLAs, Mike Bernier, Dan Davies, Tom Shypitka, Karin Kirkpatrick and Coralee Oakes are running as Independents and could become power brokers in the event of a minority government situation, while former B.C. United incumbents Ian Paton, Peter Milobar and Trevor Halford are running under the B.C. Conservative banner.

Davies, who represents the Fort St. John area riding of Peace River North, said hesa国际传媒檚 always been a Conservative-leaning politician but he has deep community roots and was urged by his supporters to run as an Independent after the Conservatives nominated their own candidate.

Davies said he may be open to talking with B.C. Conservative Leader John Rustad after the election, if he wins or loses.

Green Leader Sonia Furstenau has suggested her party is an option for alienated B.C. United voters.

Rustad sa国际传媒 who faced criticism from BC United Leader Kevin Falcon and Eby about the far-right and extremist views of some of his current and former candidates and advisers sa国际传媒 said the partysa国际传媒檚 rise over the past months has been meteoric.

sa国际传媒淚tsa国际传媒檚 been almost 100 years since the Conservative Party in B.C. has won a government,sa国际传媒 he said. sa国际传媒淭he last time was 1927. I look at this now and I think I have never seen this happen anywhere in the country before. This has been happening in just over a year. It just speaks volumes that people are just that eager and interested in change.sa国际传媒

Rustad, ejected from the former B.C. Liberals in August 2022 for publicly supporting a climate change skeptic, sat briefly as an Independent before being acclaimed the B.C. Conservative leader in March 2023.

Rustad, who said if elected he will fire B.C.sa国际传媒檚 provincial health officer Dr. Bonnie Henry over her vaccine mandates during the COVID-19 pandemic, has removed the nominations of some of his candidates who were vaccine opponents.

sa国际传媒淚 am not interested in going after votes and trying to do things that I think might be popular,sa国际传媒 he said.

Prof. David Black, a political communications specialist at Greater Victoriasa国际传媒檚 Royal Roads University, said the rise of Rustadsa国际传媒檚 Conservatives and the collapse of B.C. United is the political story of the year in B.C.

But itsa国际传媒檚 still too early to gauge the strength of the Conservative wave, he said.

sa国际传媒淢any questions remain,sa国际传媒 said Black. sa国际传媒淗as the free enterprise coalition shifted sufficiently far enough to the right to find the social conservatism and culture-war populism of some parts of the B.C. Conservative platform agreeable? Is a party that had no infrastructure and minimal presence in what are now 93 ridings this election able to scale up and run a professional campaign across the province?sa国际传媒





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